Latest weekly reports

Modelling and projections

  • Following the notification of a new case in Margibi County, Liberia, on 29 June, the situation seems now under control as all five subsequent cases were known contacts of the index case and no case has been notified since 13 July. Therefore, we will not re-include our modelling and prediction for Liberia unless there is some evidence of sustained transmission.
  • Our modelling analysis is provided in a separate report, which also includes a comparison between the SitReps and the WHO linelist data: view online version.
  • We provide a summary of our projections: view online version.

Interactive maps

The cumulative number of cases in each district is mapped below. More maps can be found here.

  • Districts of Guinea are in blue, Sierra Leone in yellow and Liberia in red.
  • Circle size is proportional to the cumulative number of confirmed & probable cases in each district.
  • You can drag, zoom and also click on the circles to obtain more information about the districts.


Following the outset of the Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak in West Africa, the Ministry of Health of Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea have started to publish daily situation reports (SitReps). These SitReps include several tables with the number of cases and deaths but also the use of treatment centres and the number of health-care workers infected.

Such data represent a unique source of publicly available information and are essential to people working on the field in order to track the epidemic as it progresses. However, the SitReps come in heterogeneous format and are difficult to visualize.

To tackle this issue, we, members of the CMMID, collected and digitalized all the SitReps from Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea, and started to produce weekly reports that we send to several actors of the fight against Ebola:

  • World Health Organization
  • Médecins Sans Frontières
  • Epicentre
  • Save the Children
  • The Red Cross
  • Oxfam
  • King’s Sierra Leone Partnership
  • UK-Med
  • The International Rescue Committee
  • The Department for International Development (UK)
  • The Government Office for Science (UK)
  • The National Institute of Health (US)
  • The Department of Health and Human Services (US)
  • GlaxoSmithKline
  • Merck
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (US)
  • Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance

If you are an organization not listed above and you would like to receive weekly alerts as well as pdf version of our reports, drop us an email at Alternatively, this website present an online version of our reports.

At the CMMID, we are also developing analytical tools to model the epidemic in real-time and forecast the Ebola outbreak a few weeks ahead. Forecasts are useful to plan control interventions, such as Ebola treatment centres, as well as to set up clinical trials. The second aim of this website is therefore to publish our real-time modelling of the epidemic as well as projections at the district level.

This website is mainly dedicated to people working on the field. As such, we would like to hear about your needs in order to create more specific figures and modelling that we can include in future reports.

Feel free to contact us at


This project (#13165) is funded by the Research for Health in Humanitarian Crises (R2HC) Programme, managed by Research for Humanitarian Assistance (ELRHA).

The R2HC programme aims to improve health outcomes by strengthening the evidence base for public health interventions in humanitarian crises.

In response to the Ebola outbreak in West Africa, the Research for Health in Humanitarian Crises (R2HC) launched an emergency Ebola Health Research Call in August 2014, aiming to fund research which will help to strengthen interventions to tackle this and future outbreaks.

The £8 million R2HC programme is funded equally by the Wellcome Trust and the Department For International Development, with Enhancing Learning and ELRHA overseeing the programme’s execution and management.